Tropical discussion
A weak disturbance in the southwestern Gulf of Mexico continues to move
west toward the northern Mexico coast. This system has not become any
better organized today and the chance of any development before moving
inland later today is low. Otherwise the tropical Atlantic is quiet with no
other concerns anywhere.
Sunday: High pressure is located east of Bermuda into the central Atlantic
while a cold front is moving east through the Great Lakes into the
northeast part of the United States. In between this high moving E and the
next cold front is stronger southwest wind. Wind speeds will be increasing
into the twenties near the Gulf Stream and to the northwest, while wind
speeds will be lighter to the southeast closer to high pressure. There is
only small chance for isolated showers
Monday: High pressure will be shifting to the east into the central
Atlantic, while the cold front moves off the United States northeast coast.
In between this high to the east and the cold front located to the
northwest, there will continue to be moderate southwest to south southwest
winds. Wind trends left into south southwest which will lead to more upwind
conditions for the boats nearing Bermuda. Wind speeds will be mainly in the
teens. For any boats located closer to the Gulf Stream, there will be a
stronger southwest wind with wind speeds into the twenties and maybe higher
near any squalls, especially later in the day and nighttime
Tuesday: High pressure remains located in the central Atlantic, mainly in
between the Azores and Bermuda. The cold front weakens and slows down and
moves to be located southeast of the Gulf Stream. Ahead of this cold front
winds will be more right into the southwest increasing to the fifteen to
the twenty knots range possibly a little higher. Wind direction will be
more right into the southwest, which will help give better angle for boats
heading to the finish line. Ahead of the cold front, there is a chance for
showers near Bermuda, while heavier showers and squalls are possible closer
to the cold front. As the cold front moves closer to Bermuda, there will be
greater chance for showers and squalls around during Tuesday night
Wednesday: Ahead of the weaker cold front moving southeast there will be
lighter southwest winds. Wind speeds mainly in the teens to possibly near
twenty knots at times. There is still a chance for heavier showers and
squalls thru much of the day