Tropical discussion
There are no areas of concern for development this morning. Only a few disorganized clusters of showers and thunderstorms are occurring around the Greater Antilles and Bahamas area as well as the southern Caribbean and near the inter tropical convergence zone out into the central Atlantic. Tropical storm development is not expected over the next few days.
Monday: Strong high pressure is centered well east of Bermuda this morning with a broad ridge axis stretching west southwest toward the northern Bahamas. A strong cold front is just off the northeast coast of the United States. In between there continues to be a strong southwest wind. Boats that are more back to the north will experience wind speeds in the twenties to low thirties today while boats closer to Bermuda see wind speeds in the teens to low twenties. Winds will also be more southerly near Bermuda. An isolated squally shower is possible mainly this morning. Otherwise all of the heavier showers and squalls will be well back to the northwest nearer the front.
Tuesday: High pressure will be in the central Atlantic, mainly between the Azores and Bermuda and will tend to expand and grow stronger. Low pressure developing along the front near Nova Scotia will push the northern end of the front more east while the southern end hangs up and stalls out near thirty five north on the race course to near Cape Hatteras. Winds will veer to a more favorable southwest direction for boats still out and speeds will be in the teens to near twenty knots. Scattered showers and squalls will move closer to Bermuda with a couple of rounds of activity possible for boats still out. This could lead to lighter and more shifty winds at times.
Wednesday: The front will wash out to the north and the area will come back under the influence of the large Atlantic high. Winds will become south to southeast with speeds in the teens for any boats still out. A few scattered showers and squalls may still be around the area with possible lighter and shifty conditions near and in them.