Event: 2024 Newport to Bermuda race
Outlook for: Monday June 24 to Wednesday June 26
Prepared: 1700 eastern time Monday June 24
Tropical discussion
There are no areas of concern for development this morning. Only a few
disorganized clusters of showers and thunderstorms are occurring around the
Greater Antilles and Bahamas area as well as the southern Caribbean and
near the inter tropical convergence zone out into the central Atlantic.
Tropical storm development is not expected over the next few days.
Monday: Strong high pressure is centered well east of Bermuda this evening
with a broad ridge axis stretching west southwest toward the northern
Bahamas. A strong cold front is nearing the boat farthest north “Seas the
Day” near thirty six thirty north and sixty seven west. Interaction between
the front and ridging from high pressure is strengthening the southwest
wind regime between the aforementioned position and Bermuda. Boats north of
thirty five north will experience the strongest wind speeds well in the
twenties to possibly mid 30s alongside squalls and t-storms with gusts
breaching forty knots tonight into Tuesday. Boats south of thirty five
north experience less of a breeze in the upper teens to twenties while the
breeze leans closer south with more scattered showers and t-storms.
Tuesday: High pressure will be in the central Atlantic, mainly between the
Azores and Bermuda and will tend to expand and grow stronger. Low pressure
developing along the front near Nova Scotia will push the northern end of
the front more east while the southern end hangs up and stalls out near
thirty five north on the race course to near Cape Hatteras. Winds will veer
to a more favorable southwest to west direction for boats still out near
and north of thirty five north and speeds will be in the teens to near
twenty knots. Scattered showers and squalls will move closer to Bermuda
with a couple of rounds of activity possible for boats still out. This
could lead to lighter and more shifty winds at times.
Wednesday: The front will wash out to the north and the area will come
back under the influence of the large Atlantic high. Winds will become
south to southeast with speeds in the teens for any boats still out. A few
scattered showers and squalls may still be around the area with possible
lighter and shifty conditions near and in them.